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Showing posts with label growth company's stock. Show all posts
Showing posts with label growth company's stock. Show all posts

Saturday, June 23, 2012

Equity Investments - Analyzing a Company - Types of Stock



  1. Growth Company and Growth StockA growth company is a company that consistently grows by investing in projects that will generate growth. A growth stock, however, is a stock that earns a higher rate of return over stocks with a similar risk profile.

    Feasibly, a company could be a growth company, but its stock could be a value stock if it is trading below its peers of similar risk.
  1. Defensive Company and Defensive StockA defensive company is a company whose earnings are relatively unaffected in a business cycle downturn. A defensive company is typically reflective of products that we "need" versus "want". A food company, such as Kellogg, is considered a defensive company. A defensive stock, however, will hold its value relatively well in a business cycle downturn.
  1. Cyclical Company and Cyclical StockA cyclical company is a company whose earnings are affected relative to a business cycle. A cyclical company is typically reflects products we "want". A retail store, such as The Gap, is considered a cyclical company. A cyclical stock, however, will move with the market in relation to the business cycle.
  1. Speculative Company and Speculative Stock.A speculative company is a company that invests in a business with an uncertain outcome. An oil exploration company is an example of a speculative company. A speculative stock, however, is a stock that has potential for a large return, as well as the potential for considerable losses. An example of speculative stocks can be found in the tech bubble, where investors put money into speculative stocks, but the investor could have been hurt financially or made large gains depending on the stock the investor invested in.


Read more: http://www.investopedia.com/exam-guide/cfa-level-1/equity-investments/analyzing-companies-stock-types.asp#ixzz1yf8SKSRC

Sunday, June 17, 2012

What Is a Quality Growth Company? Just What Do We Mean by Growth?


What Is a Quality Growth Company?
To invest only in high quality growth companies, you will have to prospect for good candidates and then analyze and evaluate each.


Invest Only in Good Quality Growth Companies
Depending upon the size or maturity of the company, you should look for companies whose "monotonous excellence" produces consistent annual earnings growth of anywhere from 7% to as much as 20% compounded annually. As these companies grow, their share prices will ultimately follow, and your portfolio will reap the returns.

"Total Return" (the combination of both capital appreciation and divi-dend yield) is, certainly, the name of the game, but it‘s best to invest in companies whose growth, rather than dividend income, is going to provide the bulk of the return.

But it‘s not enough to simply invest in growing businesses. You should also set high standards of quality for the companies in which you invest. Companies of quality will outperform their peers, perform better in economic downturns, and/or see their share prices take large tumbles during the occasional stumble.


Just What Do We Mean by Growth?
As can be seen in the diagram above, a successful company will pass through several phases of growth:
  • The startup phase when earnings are predictably below the break-even point. 
  • A period of explosive growth when the percentage increase in sales and earnings can be spectacular.
  • The mature growth period when revenue becomes so large that it is difficult to maintain a consistent increase in the percentage of growth.
  • The period of stabilization, or decline for companies that do not continue to rejuvenate their product mix or expand their target markets.
You should invest only in companies that have a track record as a public company for at least five years and for which the data is readily available. We are therefore interested in investing in companies that are at least five years into their explosive growth periods but that have not gone past their primes. Obviously, the longer the company has had a successful track record—provided its management copes successfully with maturity—the more stable and risk-free it is apt to be.

Depending upon the size of the company, fundamental investors should expect growth rates that vary from a low of about 7% to a high of around 20%. 
  • Hence, if the company is an established one with sales over the $5 billion mark, a growth rate of as little as 7% might be acceptable. (The Total Return of such a company should have a substantial dividend yield component.)
  • At the other end of the spectrum, the newer company in its explosive growth period should show double digit growth. While we know that growth rates above 20% cannot be sustained forever, we look for higher growth rates as compensation for the increased associated risk.
The chart below provides a rough guideline for the kinds of growth rates that concept suggests. Anything in the light area is acceptable for companies whose revenues (sales) match the scale on the left side.



For example,
  • if a company‘s sales for the current year are in the neighborhood of $300 million, we would look for a growth rate of better than 12%. 
  • For a company with $1 billion in sales, we would want at least 8%. 
These are the standards of growth that we will seek for investment. Higher risk situations involving companies early in their life cycles are speculative and not of investment quality.

Tuesday, May 22, 2012

Warren Buffett interview on how he loves to do business




Listen to Warren Buffett's view on growth companies.

Wednesday, April 25, 2012

How to do a stock research & analysis.


Opto Circuits India Ltd - Stock Research & Analysis
(15 Dec 2008)

Synopsis

Opto Circuits is a small company in Medical Electronics industry with focus in the niche areas of invasive (coronary stents) and non-invasive (sensors, patient monitors) segments. Prior to '2002 Opto's Revenues were less than Rs. 50 Cr. Today Revenues stand at Rs.468 Cr, with exports accounting for more than 95% of Revenues. Opto Circuits is based in Bangalore India and operates out of offices established in USA, Europe, South-East Asia, Latin America and the Middle East and boasts of a strong international distribution network present in over 70 countries.

The Numbers speak for themselves. Net profit margins are healthy (over 28%), great return on equity (~ 40%, unmatched in the Medical Electronics industry), and solid return on invested capital ratios (over 45%). Financial health has been steadily improving over the years with comfortable financial leverage (1.34) and Debt to equity (0.31), with solid Current & Quick ratios. However, Opto Circuits still has a long way to go before it can show loads of excess cash on its books, due to its aggressive business expansion. Free Cash Flow as a percentage of sales is ~6 percent. It has consistently increased Dividends per share and has a unique track record of rewarding shareholders with bonus shares every year, for the 7th straight year! Opto Circuits seems to enjoy an above-average Economic Moat and fares very well when compared to its peers in this Peer Comparison snapshot.

Though there are Significant Risks going forward, Opto Circuits has lots of positives going for it. Over the last 7 years since FY2002, Opto Circuits Revenues have clocked a long term sales growth of over 45% while long term EPS growth has galloped at a handsome 60% plus. It has been working steadily grow its business through pursuing organic growth through investments in manufacturing capacities and penetrating into newer markets, supplemented by inorganic growth through judicious acquisitions. To its credit Opto circuits has managed acquisitions so far quite well, drawing synergies by leveraging distribution networks and lower-cost manufacturing bases. There is some evidence of Sustainable Growth over the medium term. We posed a few questions to Opto Circuits Management to be able to understand and assess its longer-term prospects and growth sustainability, better.

Opto's track record so far evidences early signs of being served by a Competent Management Team. The stock is promising and there's nothing wrong with investing in a young growth company like Opto Circuits, as long as you know what you are getting into. It has a long way to go before it qualifies to be among the Core holdings in anyone's Portfolio. It’s a long shot, though one that might just pay you back many times over. However, this is only half the story because even the best companies are poor investments if purchased at too high a price. We cover Opto Circuits' stock valuation in the other half story. 

Read more here:
 

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