Warung Bebas
Showing posts with label Petdag. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Petdag. Show all posts

Friday, June 22, 2012

Investor's Checklist: Consumer Services

Most consumer services concepts fail in the long run, so any investment in a company in the speculative or aggressive growth stage of the business life cycle needs to be monitored more closely than the average stock investment.

Beware of stocks that have already priced in lofty growth expectations.  You can make money if you get in early enough, but you can also lose your shirt on the stock's rapid downslide.

The sector is rife with low switching costs.  Companies that establish store loyalty or store dependence are very attractive.  Tiffany's is a good example; it faces limited competition in the retail jewelery market.

Make sure to compare inventory and payables turns to determine which retailers are superior operators.  Companies that know what their customers want and how to exploit their negotiating power are more likely to make solid bets in the sector.

Keep an eye on those off-balance sheet obligations.   Many retailers have little or no debt on the books, but their overall financial health might not be that good.

Look for a buying opportunity when a solid company releases poor monthly or quarterly sales numbers.  Many investors overreact to one month's worth of bad same-store sales results, and the reason might just be bad weather or an overly difficult comparison to the prior-year period.  Focus on the fundamentals of the business and not the emotion of the stock.

Companies also tend to move in tandem when news comes out about the economy.  Look for a chance to pick up shares of a great retailer when the entire sector falls - keep that watch list handy.  


Ref:  The Five Rules for Successful Stock Investing by Pat Dorsey


Read also:
Investor's Checklist: A Guided Tour of the Market...

Thursday, June 21, 2012

Investor's Checklist: Consumer Goods


Find companies that enjoy the cost advantages of manufacturing on a larger scale than most other competitors.  One related issue is whether the firm holds dominant market share in its categories.

Look for the firms that consistently launch successful new products - all the better if the firm is first to market with these innovations.

Check to see if the company is supporting its brand with consistent advertising.  If the firm constantly promotes its products with sale prices, it's depleting brand equity and just milking the brand for shorter-term gain.

Examine how well the firm is handling operating costs.  Occasional restructuring can help squeeze out efficiency gains and lower costs, but if the firm is regularly incurring restructuring costs and relying solely on this cost-cutting tactic to boost its business, tread carefully.

Because these mature firms generate so much free cash flow, it's important to make sure management is using it wisely.  How much of the cash is turned over to shareholders in the form of dividends or share repurchase agreements?

Keep in mind that investors may bid up a consumer goods stock during economic downturns, making the shares pricey relative to its fair value.  Look for buying opportunities when shares trade with a 20 percent to 30 percent margin of safety.  


Ref:  The Five Rules for Successful Stock Investing by Pat Dorsey



Read also:
Investor's Checklist: A Guided Tour of the Market...

Investor's Checklist: Energy

The profitability of the energy sector is highly dependent on commodity prices.  Commodity prices are cyclical, as are the sector's profits.  It's better to buy when prices are at a cyclical low than when they're high and hitting the headlines.

Even though the sector is largely cyclical, many energy companies keep their bottom lines black during the troughs.  Look for this characteristic in your energy investments.

OPEC is a highly beneficial force in the energy sector because it keeps commodity prices above its costs.  It is worth keeping tabs on the cartel's strength.

Because of OPEC, we view exploration and production as a much more attractive area than refining and marketing.

Working in a commodity market, economies of scale are just about the only way to achieve a competitive advantage.  As such, bigger is generally better because firms with greater heft tend to be more profitable.

Keep an eye on reserves and reserve growth because these are the hard assets the company will mine for future revenue.

Companies with strong balance sheets will weather cyclical lows better than those burdened with debt.  Look for companies that don't need to take on additional debt to invest in new projects while also paying dividends or repurchasing shares.


Ref:  The Five Rules for Successful Stock Investing by Pat Dorsey



Read also:
Investor's Checklist: A Guided Tour of the Market...

Tuesday, May 29, 2012

Petronas Dagangan (29.5.2012)


  Financial   EPS Dividend NTA ttm-EPS Qtr
Date Quarter    (Cent) (Cent)  (RM) (Cent) No
21/5/2012 1/1/2012   24.8 17.5 4.95 90.7 1
24/2/2012 31/12/2011   22.3 50 4.81 88.9 5
23/11/2011 30/9/2011   22.6 15 4.7 90.4 5
10/8/2011 30/6/2011   21 15 5.04 88.5 0
26/5/2011 31/3/2011   23 60 4.83 87.6 4
16/2/2011 31/12/2010   23.8 0 4.6 80.8 3
25/11/2010 30/9/2010   20.7 40 4.66 75.8 2
24/8/2010 30/6/2010   20.1 0 4.79 75.2 1
25/5/2010 31/3/2010   16.2 45 4.59 75.8 4
19/2/2010 31/12/2009   18.8 0 4.43 76.9 3
23/11/2009 30/9/2009   20.1 15 4.35 62.4 2
25/8/2009 30/6/2009   20.7 0 4.4 55.6 1
25/5/2009 31/3/2009   17.3 33 4.19 58.3 4
24/2/2009 31/12/2008   4.3 0 4.02 57.8 3
25/11/2008 30/9/2008   13.3 12 4.06 72.9 2
28/8/2008 30/6/2008   23.4 0 4.18 72.5 1
26/5/2008 31/3/2008   16.8 33 3.94 66.8 4
26/2/2008 31/12/2007   19.4 0 3.78 67 3
29/11/2007 30/9/2007   12.9 12 3.67 64.3 2
27/8/2007 30/6/2007   17.7 0 3.69 66.3 1
28/5/2007 31/3/2007   17 20 3.51   4
26/2/2007 31/12/2006   16.7 0 3.34   3
30/11/2006 30/9/2006   14.9 10 3.25   2




  Financial   ttm-EPS Qtr
Date Quarter   (Cent) Price PE P/NTA No
21/5/2012 1/1/2012   90.7 19.48 21.48 3.9 1
24/2/2012 31/12/2011   88.9 18 20.25 3.7 5
23/11/2011 30/9/2011   90.4 16.36 18.10 3.5 5
10/8/2011 30/6/2011   88.5 16.54 18.69 3.3 0
26/5/2011 31/3/2011   87.6 16.3 18.61 3.4 4
16/2/2011 31/12/2010   80.8 12.5 15.47 2.7 3
25/11/2010 30/9/2010   75.8 11.7 15.44 2.5 2
24/8/2010 30/6/2010   75.2 11 14.63 2.3 1
25/5/2010 31/3/2010   75.8 9.23 12.18 2.0 4
19/2/2010 31/12/2009   76.9 8.92 11.60 2.0 3
23/11/2009 30/9/2009   62.4 8.57 13.73 2.0 2
25/8/2009 30/6/2009   55.6 8.33 14.98 1.9 1
25/5/2009 31/3/2009   58.3 7.78 13.34 1.9 4
24/2/2009 31/12/2008   57.8 7.36 12.73 1.8 3
25/11/2008 30/9/2008   72.9 6.71 9.20 1.7 2
28/8/2008 30/6/2008   72.5 5.99 8.26 1.4 1
26/5/2008 31/3/2008   66.8 6.57 9.84 1.7 4
26/2/2008 31/12/2007   67 7.01 10.46 1.9 3
29/11/2007 30/9/2007   64.3 7.57 11.77 2.1 2
27/8/2007 30/6/2007   66.3 7.6 11.46 2.1 1
28/5/2007 31/3/2007           4
26/2/2007 31/12/2006           3
30/11/2006 30/9/2006           2



ttm-EPS  90.7 sen
LFY Dividend  80 sen

Price (29.5.2012)   RM 20.48

PE  22.6x
DY  3.9%

Monday, April 2, 2012

Petronas Dagangan versus Dutch Lady (A Comparative Study)


5.3.2012 5.3.2012
PetDag Dutch Lady
Income Statement
31/12/2011 31/12/2011
RM (m) RM (m)
Revenue 23,251.78 810.65
Gross Profit 2,100.70 304.47
Operating Profit 1209.173 139.372
Financing costs -1.015 -0.919
PBT 1208.911 141.553
PAT 875.927 108.082
EPS (basic) sen 87.5 168.88
EPS (diluted) sen
Balance Sheet
NCA 3957.02 74.048
CA 4527.712 324.465
Total Assets 8484.732 398.513
Total Equity 4830.594 259.154
NCL 198.629 4.051
CL 3455.509 135.308
Total Liabilities 3654.138 139.359
Total Eq + Liab 8484.732 398.513
Net assets per share 4.862 4.05
Cash & Eq 1026.209 193.143
LT Borrowings 16.232 0
ST Borrowings 0 0
Net Cash 1009.977 193.143
Inventories 832.6 93.448
Trade receivables 2668.903 36.713
Trade payables 3351.073 121.831
Quick Ratio 1.07 1.71
Current Ratio 1.31 2.40
Cash flow statement
PBT 1208.911 141.553
OPBCWC
Cash from Operations 188.290
Net CFO 1043.938 161.940
CFI -307.041 -7.135
CFF -623.159 -47.319
Capex -289.167 -10.882
FCF 754.771 151.058
Dividends paid -633.327 -46.400
DPS (sen) 63.75 72.5
No of ord shares (m)
basic 993.454 64
diluted
Financial Ratios
Gross Profit Margin 9.03% 37.56%
Net Profit Margin 3.77% 13.33%
Asset Turnover 2.74 2.03
Financial Leverage 1.76 1.54
ROA 10.32% 27.12%
ROC 22.93% 163.73%
ROE 18.13% 41.71%
Valuation 5.3.2012 5.3.2012
Price  18.24 29.5
Market cap (m) 18120.6 1888.00
P/E 20.69 17.47
P/BV 3.75 7.29
P/FCF 24.01 12.50
P/Div 28.61 40.69
DPO ratio 0.72 0.43
EY 4.83% 5.72%
FCF/P 4.17% 8.00%
DY 3.50% 2.46%

Monday, March 5, 2012

Petronas Dagangan (At a Glance)






Announcement
Date
Financial
Yr. End
QtrPeriod EndRevenue
RM '000
Profit/Lost
RM'000
EPSAmended
24-Feb-1231-Dec-11Other31-Dec-117,422,923223,06122.30-
23-Nov-1131-Dec-11Other30-Sep-117,304,943225,72822.60-
10-Aug-1131-Dec-11Other30-Jun-117,539,927210,51121.00-
26-May-1131-Mar-11431-Mar-116,382,665229,77323.00-

ttm-EPS 88.9 sen
Price RM 18.34
PE (ttm) 20.6x
EY 4.85%



Stock Performance Chart for Petronas Dagangan Berhad



















 

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