Warung Bebas
Showing posts with label dlady. Show all posts
Showing posts with label dlady. Show all posts

Friday, June 22, 2012

Investor's Checklist: Consumer Services

Most consumer services concepts fail in the long run, so any investment in a company in the speculative or aggressive growth stage of the business life cycle needs to be monitored more closely than the average stock investment.

Beware of stocks that have already priced in lofty growth expectations.  You can make money if you get in early enough, but you can also lose your shirt on the stock's rapid downslide.

The sector is rife with low switching costs.  Companies that establish store loyalty or store dependence are very attractive.  Tiffany's is a good example; it faces limited competition in the retail jewelery market.

Make sure to compare inventory and payables turns to determine which retailers are superior operators.  Companies that know what their customers want and how to exploit their negotiating power are more likely to make solid bets in the sector.

Keep an eye on those off-balance sheet obligations.   Many retailers have little or no debt on the books, but their overall financial health might not be that good.

Look for a buying opportunity when a solid company releases poor monthly or quarterly sales numbers.  Many investors overreact to one month's worth of bad same-store sales results, and the reason might just be bad weather or an overly difficult comparison to the prior-year period.  Focus on the fundamentals of the business and not the emotion of the stock.

Companies also tend to move in tandem when news comes out about the economy.  Look for a chance to pick up shares of a great retailer when the entire sector falls - keep that watch list handy.  


Ref:  The Five Rules for Successful Stock Investing by Pat Dorsey


Read also:
Investor's Checklist: A Guided Tour of the Market...

Thursday, June 21, 2012

Investor's Checklist: Consumer Goods


Find companies that enjoy the cost advantages of manufacturing on a larger scale than most other competitors.  One related issue is whether the firm holds dominant market share in its categories.

Look for the firms that consistently launch successful new products - all the better if the firm is first to market with these innovations.

Check to see if the company is supporting its brand with consistent advertising.  If the firm constantly promotes its products with sale prices, it's depleting brand equity and just milking the brand for shorter-term gain.

Examine how well the firm is handling operating costs.  Occasional restructuring can help squeeze out efficiency gains and lower costs, but if the firm is regularly incurring restructuring costs and relying solely on this cost-cutting tactic to boost its business, tread carefully.

Because these mature firms generate so much free cash flow, it's important to make sure management is using it wisely.  How much of the cash is turned over to shareholders in the form of dividends or share repurchase agreements?

Keep in mind that investors may bid up a consumer goods stock during economic downturns, making the shares pricey relative to its fair value.  Look for buying opportunities when shares trade with a 20 percent to 30 percent margin of safety.  


Ref:  The Five Rules for Successful Stock Investing by Pat Dorsey



Read also:
Investor's Checklist: A Guided Tour of the Market...

Tuesday, April 3, 2012

Nestle versus Dutch Lady (A Comparative Study)


3.4.2012 3.4.2012
Nestle Dutch Lady
Income Statement
31/12/2011 31/12/2011
RM (m) RM (m)
Revenue 4,700.99 810.65
Gross Profit 1,542.12 304.47
Operating Profit 579.428 139.372
Financing costs -21.398 -0.919
PBT 558.809 141.553
PAT 456.301 108.082
EPS (basic) sen 194.58 168.88
EPS (diluted) sen
Balance Sheet
NCA 987.259 74.048
CA 1015.064 324.465
Total Assets 2002.323 398.513
Total Equity 640.86 259.154
NCL 446.723 4.051
CL 914.74 135.308
Total Liabilities 1361.463 139.359
Total Eq + Liab 2002.323 398.513
Net assets per share 2.730 4.05
Cash & Eq 52.461 193.143
LT Borrowings 337.711 0
ST Borrowings 4.223 0
Net Cash -289.473 193.143
Inventories 517.573 93.448
Trade receivables 444.854 36.713
Trade payables 878.321 121.831
Quick Ratio 0.54 1.71
Current Ratio 1.11 2.40
Cash flow statement
PBT 558.809 141.553
OPBCWC 681.492
Cash from Operations 640.247 188.290
Net CFO 581.844 161.940
CFI -90.683 -7.135
CFF -461.013 -47.319
Capex -93.015 -10.882
FCF 488.829 151.058
Dividends paid -398.650 -46.400
DPS (sen) 180.00 72.5
No of ord shares (m)
basic 234.5 64
diluted
Financial Ratios
Gross Profit Margin 32.80% 37.56%
Net Profit Margin 9.71% 13.33%
Asset Turnover 2.35 2.03
Financial Leverage 3.12 1.54
ROA 22.79% 27.12%
ROC 49.05% 163.73%
ROE 71.20% 41.71%
Valuation 3.4.2012 3.4.2012
Price  55.9 36
Market cap (m) 13108.55 2304.00
P/E 28.73 21.32
P/BV 20.45 8.89
P/FCF 26.82 15.25
P/Div 32.88 49.66
DPO ratio 0.87 0.43
EY 3.48% 4.69%
FCF/P 3.73% 6.56%
DY 3.04% 2.01%

MBMR versus Dutch Lady (A Comparative Study)


3.4.2012 3.4.2012
MBMR Dutch Lady
Income Statement
31/12/2011 31/12/2011
RM (m) RM (m)
Revenue 1,752.30 810.65
Gross Profit 132.71 304.47
Operating Profit 41.998 139.372
Financing costs 1.556 -0.919
PBT 151.099 141.553
PAT 138.053 108.082
EPS (basic) sen 49.77 168.88
EPS (diluted) sen 49.25
Balance Sheet
NCA 1257.34 74.048
CA 775.88 324.465
Total Assets 2033.22 398.513
Total Equity 1307.129 259.154
NCL 373.477 4.051
CL 352.614 135.308
Total Liabilities 726.091 139.359
Total Eq + Liab 2033.22 398.513
Net assets per share 4.550 4.05
Cash & Eq 247.398 193.143
LT Borrowings 371.459 0
ST Borrowings 57.292 0
Net Cash -181.353 193.143
Inventories 251.154 93.448
Trade receivables 264.329 36.713
Trade payables 286.406 121.831
Quick Ratio 1.49 1.71
Current Ratio 2.20 2.40
Cash flow statement
PBT 151.099 141.553
OPBCWC 53.903
Cash from Operations  - 188.290
Net CFO 0.802 161.940
CFI# -291.327 -7.135
CFF 355.727 -47.319
#Acquisition sub  -311.791
Capex -27.114 -10.882
FCF -26.312 151.058
Dividends paid -33.995 -46.400
DPS (sen) 14.00 72.5
No of ord shares (m)
basic 242.864 64
diluted 245.429
Financial Ratios
Gross Profit Margin 7.57% 37.56%
Net Profit Margin 7.88% 13.33%
Asset Turnover 0.86 2.03
Financial Leverage 1.56 1.54
ROA 6.79% 27.12%
ROC 9.27% 163.73%
ROE 10.56% 41.71%
Valuation 3.4.2012 3.4.2012
Price  4.76 36.08
Market cap (m) 1156.03 2309.12
P/E 8.37 21.36
P/BV 0.88 8.91
P/FCF -43.94 15.29
P/Div 34.01 49.77
DPO ratio 0.25 0.43
EY 11.94% 4.68%
FCF/P -2.28% 6.54%
DY 2.94% 2.01%


23.3.2012
It is thus not surprising that MBMR announced thus:
NEW ISSUE OF SECURITIES (CHAPTER 6 OF LISTING REQUIREMENTS): COMBINATION OF NEW ISSUE OF SECURITIES

MBM RESOURCES BERHAD (“MBMR” OR THE “COMPANY”)

(I) PROPOSED BONUS ISSUE; AND
(II) PROPOSED RIGHTS ISSUE WITH WARRANTS 

Aeon versus Dutch Lady (A Comparative Study)


3.4.2012 3.4..2012
Aeon Dutch Lady
Income Statement
31/12/2011 31/12/2011
RM (m) RM (m)
Revenue 2,984.61 810.65
Gross Profit - 304.47
Operating Profit 271.775 139.372
Financing costs 0 -0.919
PBT 277.272 141.553
PAT 195.353 108.082
EPS (basic) sen 55.66 168.88
EPS (diluted) sen
Balance Sheet
NCA 1674.326 74.048
CA 763.156 324.465
Total Assets 2437.482 398.513
Total Equity 1287.91 259.154
NCL 21.146 4.051
CL 1128.426 135.308
Total Liabilities 1149.572 139.359
Total Eq + Liab 2437.482 398.513
Net assets per share 3.669 4.05
Cash & Eq 341.052 193.143
LT Borrowings 0 0
ST Borrowings 0 0
Net Cash 341.052 193.143
Inventories 353.555 93.448
Trade receivables 68.549 36.713
Trade payables 1108.504 121.831
Quick Ratio 0.36 1.71
Current Ratio 0.68 2.40
Cash flow statement
PBT 277.272 141.553
OPBCWC 414.932
Cash from Operations 447.334 188.290
Net CFO 356.860 161.940
CFI -304.594 -7.135
CFF -42.122 -47.319
Capex -315.131 -10.882
FCF 41.729 151.058
Dividends paid -42.120 -46.400
DPS (sen) 12.00 72.5
No of ord shares (m)
basic 351 64
diluted
Financial Ratios
Gross Profit Margin #VALUE! 37.56%
Net Profit Margin 6.55% 13.33%
Asset Turnover 1.22 2.03
Financial Leverage 1.89 1.54
ROA 8.01% 27.12%
ROC 20.63% 163.73%
ROE 15.17% 41.71%
Valuation 3.4.2012 3.4.2012
Price  9.5 36.08
Market cap (m) 3334.50 2309.12
P/E 17.07 21.36
P/BV 2.59 8.91
P/FCF 79.91 15.29
P/Div 79.17 49.77
DPO ratio 0.22 0.43
EY 5.86% 4.68%
FCF/P 1.25% 6.54%
DY 1.26% 2.01%

Monday, April 2, 2012

Coastal versus Dutch Lady (A Comparative Study)


3.4.2012 5.3.2012
Coastal Dutch Lady
Income Statement
31/12/2011 31/12/2011
RM (m) RM (m)
Revenue 719.31 810.65
Gross Profit 196.67 304.47
Operating Profit  - 139.372
Financing costs -0.519 -0.919
PBT 191.636 141.553
PAT 190.954 108.082
EPS (basic) sen 39.51 168.88
EPS (diluted) sen
Balance Sheet
NCA 98.487 74.048
CA 1042.326 324.465
Total Assets 1140.813 398.513
Total Equity 770.798 259.154
NCL 16.936 4.051
CL 353.079 135.308
Total Liabilities 370.015 139.359
Total Eq + Liab 1140.813 398.513
Net assets per share 1.595 4.05
Cash & Eq 150 193.143
LT Borrowings 11.414 0
ST Borrowings 4.089 0
Net Cash 134.497 193.143
Inventories 819.277 93.448
Trade & other receivables 72.347 36.713
Trade & other payables 348.967 121.831
Quick Ratio 0.63 1.71
Current Ratio 2.95 2.40
Cash flow statement
PBT 191.636 141.553
OPBCWC 194.058
Cash from Operations 61.380 188.290
Net CFO 59.471 161.940
CFI 14.510 -7.135
CFF -75.736 -47.319
Capex -16.547 -10.882
FCF 42.924 151.058
Dividends paid -40.231 -46.400
DPS (sen) 8.33 72.5
No of ord shares (m)
basic 483.229 64
diluted
Financial Ratios
Gross Profit Margin 27.34% 37.56%
Net Profit Margin 26.55% 13.33%
Asset Turnover 0.63 2.03
Financial Leverage 1.48 1.54
ROA 16.74% 27.12%
ROC 30.01% 163.73%
ROE 24.77% 41.71%
Valuation 3.4.2012 5.3.2012
Price  2.02 29.5
Market cap (m) 976.12 1888.00
P/E 5.11 17.47
P/BV 1.27 7.29
P/FCF 22.74 12.50
P/Div 24.26 40.69
DPO ratio 0.21 0.43
EY 19.56% 5.72%
FCF/P 4.40% 8.00%
DY 4.12% 2.46%

Apex Healthcare versus Dutch Lady (A Comparative Study)


3.4.2012 5.3.2012
Apex Healthcare Dutch Lady
Income Statement
31/12/2011 31/12/2011
RM (m) RM (m)
Revenue 366.00 810.65
Gross Profit 95.14 304.47
Operating Profit  - 139.372
Financing costs -0.288 -0.919
PBT 35.849 141.553
PAT 28.468 108.082
EPS (basic) sen 29.96 168.88
EPS (diluted) sen 29.96
Balance Sheet
NCA 85.596 74.048
CA 202.303 324.465
Total Assets 287.899 398.513
Total Equity 212.212 259.154
NCL 8.737 4.051
CL 66.95 135.308
Total Liabilities 75.687 139.359
Total Eq + Liab 287.899 398.513
Net assets per share 2.120 4.05
Cash & Eq 22.802 193.143
LT Borrowings 1.345 0
ST Borrowings 2.267 0
Net Cash 19.19 193.143
Inventories 43.098 93.448
Trade receivables 86.158 36.713
Trade payables 63.665 121.831
Quick Ratio 2.38 1.71
Current Ratio 3.02 2.40
Cash flow statement
PBT 35.849 141.553
OPBCWC 42.941
Cash from Operations 39.476 188.290
Net CFO 32.650 161.940
CFI -15.866 -7.135
CFF -16.979 -47.319
Capex -13.251 -10.882
FCF 19.399 151.058
Dividends paid -11.363 -46.400
DPS (sen) 12.12 72.5
No of ord shares (m)
basic 93.717 64
diluted
Financial Ratios
Gross Profit Margin 25.99% 37.56%
Net Profit Margin 7.78% 13.33%
Asset Turnover 1.27 2.03
Financial Leverage 1.36 1.54
ROA 9.89% 27.12%
ROC 14.75% 163.73%
ROE 13.41% 41.71%
Valuation 3.4.2012 5.3.2012
Price  2.92 29.5
Market cap (m) 273.65 1888.00
P/E 9.61 17.47
P/BV 1.29 7.29
P/FCF 14.11 12.50
P/Div 24.08 40.69
DPO ratio 0.40 0.43
EY 10.40% 5.72%
FCF/P 7.09% 8.00%
DY 4.15% 2.46%

Petronas Dagangan versus Dutch Lady (A Comparative Study)


5.3.2012 5.3.2012
PetDag Dutch Lady
Income Statement
31/12/2011 31/12/2011
RM (m) RM (m)
Revenue 23,251.78 810.65
Gross Profit 2,100.70 304.47
Operating Profit 1209.173 139.372
Financing costs -1.015 -0.919
PBT 1208.911 141.553
PAT 875.927 108.082
EPS (basic) sen 87.5 168.88
EPS (diluted) sen
Balance Sheet
NCA 3957.02 74.048
CA 4527.712 324.465
Total Assets 8484.732 398.513
Total Equity 4830.594 259.154
NCL 198.629 4.051
CL 3455.509 135.308
Total Liabilities 3654.138 139.359
Total Eq + Liab 8484.732 398.513
Net assets per share 4.862 4.05
Cash & Eq 1026.209 193.143
LT Borrowings 16.232 0
ST Borrowings 0 0
Net Cash 1009.977 193.143
Inventories 832.6 93.448
Trade receivables 2668.903 36.713
Trade payables 3351.073 121.831
Quick Ratio 1.07 1.71
Current Ratio 1.31 2.40
Cash flow statement
PBT 1208.911 141.553
OPBCWC
Cash from Operations 188.290
Net CFO 1043.938 161.940
CFI -307.041 -7.135
CFF -623.159 -47.319
Capex -289.167 -10.882
FCF 754.771 151.058
Dividends paid -633.327 -46.400
DPS (sen) 63.75 72.5
No of ord shares (m)
basic 993.454 64
diluted
Financial Ratios
Gross Profit Margin 9.03% 37.56%
Net Profit Margin 3.77% 13.33%
Asset Turnover 2.74 2.03
Financial Leverage 1.76 1.54
ROA 10.32% 27.12%
ROC 22.93% 163.73%
ROE 18.13% 41.71%
Valuation 5.3.2012 5.3.2012
Price  18.24 29.5
Market cap (m) 18120.6 1888.00
P/E 20.69 17.47
P/BV 3.75 7.29
P/FCF 24.01 12.50
P/Div 28.61 40.69
DPO ratio 0.72 0.43
EY 4.83% 5.72%
FCF/P 4.17% 8.00%
DY 3.50% 2.46%
 

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